Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000065 0.000068 0.000071 0.000074 0.000078 0.000082 0.000086
2025-02-16 0.000060 0.000065 0.000069 0.000075 0.000081 0.000088 0.000096
2025-02-23 0.000059 0.000065 0.000071 0.000078 0.000087 0.000097 0.000109
2025-03-02 0.000055 0.000061 0.000068 0.000076 0.000086 0.000098 0.000113
2025-03-09 0.000052 0.000058 0.000065 0.000074 0.000085 0.000098 0.000115
2025-03-16 0.000050 0.000057 0.000064 0.000074 0.000086 0.000101 0.000121
2025-03-23 0.000049 0.000056 0.000064 0.000075 0.000088 0.000106 0.000130
2025-03-30 0.000048 0.000055 0.000063 0.000074 0.000088 0.000107 0.000134
2025-04-06 0.000045 0.000052 0.000060 0.000072 0.000086 0.000105 0.000134
2025-04-13 0.000043 0.000050 0.000058 0.000069 0.000083 0.000102 0.000131
2025-04-20 0.000041 0.000047 0.000055 0.000066 0.000080 0.000100 0.000129
2025-04-27 0.000039 0.000046 0.000054 0.000065 0.000080 0.000100 0.000131
2025-05-04 0.000039 0.000046 0.000054 0.000065 0.000081 0.000104 0.000139
2025-05-11 0.000038 0.000045 0.000054 0.000066 0.000084 0.000108 0.000150
2025-05-18 0.000038 0.000046 0.000055 0.000069 0.000089 0.000118 0.000168
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000044 0.000054 0.000067 0.000087 0.000117 0.000171
2025-06-01 0.000036 0.000043 0.000052 0.000066 0.000086 0.000116 0.000171
2025-06-08 0.000035 0.000042 0.000052 0.000065 0.000086 0.000118 0.000178
2025-06-15 0.000035 0.000042 0.000052 0.000066 0.000089 0.000124 0.000192
2025-06-22 0.000034 0.000041 0.000051 0.000065 0.000088 0.000125 0.000197
2025-06-29 0.000032 0.000040 0.000049 0.000063 0.000086 0.000122 0.000194
2025-07-06 0.000031 0.000038 0.000047 0.000061 0.000083 0.000118 0.000188
2025-07-13 0.000030 0.000037 0.000045 0.000059 0.000080 0.000114 0.000184